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Hillary pulls ahead in Iowa

Another poll, the NewsMax/Zogby outfit, has found Hillary Clinton ahead in Iowa, reports Jennifer Jacobs for The Des Moines Register:


But the poll made public Tuesday shows Clinton is supported by 30 percent of Iowa Democrats likely to attend their precinct caucuses next January. Edwards receives 23 percent support, and Sen. Barack Obama received 19percent support in the telephone poll taken last weekend by NewsMax/Zogby, a national opinion research company.

New Mexico Gov. Bill Richardson, who had just 1 percent support in January, is now firmly in fourth place with 10percent, the new poll shows.


Read the whole story at the link above. Zogby has been the target of much-deserved skepticism for his online polling, but this is a telephone poll which found Edwards leading in its last two Iowa surveys (March and May). Additionally, Clinton now leads the Real Clear Politics average of recent polls in Iowa, with a margin of 1.4%.

Note also the "InTrade" futures show her the odds-on favorite to win Iowa, as Clinton contracts are priced nearly double those for an Edwards win at $55 to $30 (owners of the winner's contracts get $100, all others get zip).

Edwards has staked everything on Iowa, where he has enjoyed a lead in most polls all year. Hillary only recently began airing her first ads in the state, and already seems to have overtaken him, reinforcing the notion that his candidacy persists more on nervous energy than momentum. See his "political obituary" below . . .

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Comments (2)

Shorter Rove. Please, Brer... (Below threshold)
kim:

Shorter Rove. Please, Brer Dem, don't throw me in that briar patch.
========================

Wait'll they start asking H... (Below threshold)
kim:

Wait'll they start asking Hillary about her husband's lie that he ordered bin Laden killed.
============================




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