The new Rasmussen tracking poll was just released. (Yes, I stayed up and kept refreshing the screen.)
President Bush's job approval is now at 45%, disapproval is now at 52%. That is a 5 point swing in one night, so you can imagine what the results must have been in the one night sample.
This is actually the best number for the President since the 9/11 anniversary. However, a closer look at the numbers may give some indication where we will stand on election day.
September 11, 2006 - 41% to 57%.
September 12, 2006 - 44% to 54%
September 13, 2006 - 45% to 52%
September 14, 2006 - 47% to 50%
It took three nights for the bad sample to be removed. When it was all said in done, the President received a 13% bounce. Given the fact that he probably scored his best numbers in the immediate sample after his speech, his net approval rating was probably higher, perhaps 20% net approval on the day following September 11, 2006.
Now let's look at the present situation.
November 5, 2006 - 43% to 53%
November 6, 2006 - 45% to 52%
November 7, 2006 - ?
As you can see, the odds are that the President will rise even higher tomorrow as the sample from last night rolls off the charts. And, in case you are wondering, if the President is in the vicinity of 47% to 48%, it is extremely good news. The race for the House will be fought and won in Ohio and Indiana. If the President is at 48% nationally, he is probably around 53% to 54% in places like Indiana.
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Comments (6)
It's important that our sid... (Below threshold)1. Posted by Jim Addison | November 6, 2006 4:24 AM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
It's important that our side is going up. It is also important that the other side is going down.
According to Pollster.com, the Democrats peaked 10 days ago.
Notice that this analysis was written BEFORE the WaPo or Gallup poll numbers showing better news for the GOP were released.
The numbers are clearly moving our way. Whether they will move far enough fast enough is anyone's guess. My guess is they will, given the built-in Dem bias of the polls and our GOTV machine.
One way or the other, though, let's enjoy these last couple of days watching the moonbats sweat. They've been in our faces with their "blue wave" crap all summer and fall; we deserve to see their heads explode as reality sets in.
After we pull this off, I'd really like to buy Karl Rove a beer.
1. Posted by Jim Addison | November 6, 2006 4:24 AM |
Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Posted on November 6, 2006 04:24
2. Posted by eileen | November 6, 2006 10:55 AM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
I guess you haven't been watching the same polls as the rest of us have been watching !!!!!
I checked the polls just this morning and it looks like the Democratic Party is going to kick a--.
I will predict that there will be an amazing number of states where the machines have done the sme thing they done for the past two elections but it will take more than chads and lost ballots to win this time.
Vote for the working people who want jobs here in the great United States not foreign countries, oh yes.
I pray illigal
immigrants are stopped at the border and the ones that are here illigally will be deported back to Mexico.
2. Posted by eileen | November 6, 2006 10:55 AM |
Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Posted on November 6, 2006 10:55
3. Posted by Jim Addison | November 6, 2006 1:29 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
I pray for a school system which actually educates people.
Vouchers, anyone?
3. Posted by Jim Addison | November 6, 2006 1:29 PM |
Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Posted on November 6, 2006 13:29
4. Posted by Mike in Oregon | November 6, 2006 1:41 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
CNN says Bush's ratings are at an all time low. And you can trust CNN, the most respected name in news. Right along with the NYT, LAT, CBS, NBC, ABC. Of course, the only poll that matters is the one that takes place on Tuesday.
4. Posted by Mike in Oregon | November 6, 2006 1:41 PM |
Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Posted on November 6, 2006 13:41
5. Posted by johnMc | November 6, 2006 1:51 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
I have always wondered why Bush does not do the stump more. Everytime he comes out swinging his numbers go up. He connects with the public, but why he doesn't pound the pulpit more is beyond me.
5. Posted by johnMc | November 6, 2006 1:51 PM |
Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Posted on November 6, 2006 13:51
6. Posted by hnav | November 7, 2006 12:02 AM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
amazing how Fox News poll data is so off...
regardless, i hope everyone says NO to Nancy with a vote...
don't play with fire...
6. Posted by hnav | November 7, 2006 12:02 AM |
Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Posted on November 7, 2006 00:02