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2006 New Jersey Senate Race

For many who have been watching this race closely, it seemed for much of the past few weeks that a race that seemed our best chance for a pick-up was slipping away. However, two polls released today indicate that Tom Kean, Jr. has fought his way back into the race. A Rasmussen Poll has Kean leading by two points - 43% to 41%. With leaners, the race is tied 45% to 45%. A New York Times poll released in the past hour has the race tied.

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Comments (4)

And the poll was probably t... (Below threshold)

And the poll was probably taken before the NJ Supreme Court ruling yesterday! Plus we now have McGreevey announcing he wants to marry his sweetie boy.

As much as I love Rush and ... (Below threshold)

As much as I love Rush and Sean, I found that their remarks which were personal via Kean back and forth, could have a bad outcome.Here is the reason. Kean is near a RINO but, but, in NJ he is far better than the crooked Menendez. Far better. It is time for conservs and Pubs of all stripes to send money, time, help to Kean. I pray that Sean and Rush will not depress any conservs that do reside in NJ so as to not vote for Kean.

The worst thing for Kean is... (Below threshold)

The worst thing for Kean is that the ground game (GOTV) isn't so well developed in NJ, because we haven't been competitive there in a very long time. In the "red" and "swing" states, it's major league, but who knows what we can do in Jersey?

I wouldn't rule out Steele, especially after Cardin ditched the NAACP-sponsored debate after initially agreeing to it. Kennedy in MN and Bouchard in MI are closing fast, too, but they are longer shots than either Kean or Steele at this point.

I've always found Rush somewhat entertaining, but I haven't listened in years. It was different when he was the only conservative voice in media. Now, there are much more choices via the internet, and most of them are more enlightening - if not as funny - as Der Rushbo. Hannity suffers from his own popularity. He's not very deep, to be charitable.

It should also be remembere... (Below threshold)
RPL:

It should also be remembered that the polls tend to under represent the Republican and Independent voters, while using more Democrats in the sample. The rough percentages are (I) 58%, (R) 18%, and (D) 24%. The sample used was 21% R, and about an even split between the D and I. FWIW, things in NJ are probably better for Kean than the poll shows.




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