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Senate Races

With just over two weeks to go, I think Republicans who are contemplating staying home need to take stock of the situation. If the election were held today, the GOP would most likely lose control of the House of Representatives. However, many of the seats Democrats would gain (PA 10, TX 22, FL 16) would easily fallen to strong Republican challengers in 2008. In the event of a Pelosi speakership, many conservative Democrats would have to retire, leave the party, or face certain electoral defeat.

However, it is a much different story in the United States Senate. If people like Jon Tester, Claire McCaskill, Sherrod Brown, Bob Casey, Jr., and Harold Ford win, they will be casting liberal votes for the next 6 years. I repeat 6 years. In 6 years, President Bush will have been long out of office. Indeed, a new President will be seeking re-election. Can we afford to the risk of six years of people like Jon Tester and Sherrod Brown? Does anyone think they will vote with us on any issue?

Republicans in the states I mentioned - Montana, Missouri, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Tennessee need to work even harder. We cannot afford to do otherwise.

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Comments (5)

I would suggest as well the... (Below threshold)
Ironman:

I would suggest as well there are some House seats that can be held over the long term by the GOP if we clear this year's hurdle, but would be very hard to dislodge a Demcorat if we fail. Example. My district CT 5. Kerry 2004 margin less than 1%, so it best be held now....otherwise we would need a Hillary meltdown which I wish for but dare not expect

It would be a disaster if w... (Below threshold)
Dave:

It would be a disaster if we lose the Senate. In both 2008 and 2010, we'll be defending all of those seats we won in 2002 and 2004, years that we basically maxed out our possibilities in the Senate. Therefore, the next time we actually stand a chance to GAIN Senate seats will be 2012, just as AKM pointed out, and that means that the next POTUS will have to deal with a Democratic Senate for his entire first term.

The House, on the other hand, can be recaptured in 2008 provided that the Dems only win control by a couple of seats. This might actually work in the GOP's favor, as Americans would get a taste of what a Democratic Congress would actually be like. The House changed hands in two consecutive elections back in the '50s; there's no reason why it can't do the same thing today.

Justices. Justices. Just... (Below threshold)
harris:

Justices. Justices. Justices. Judges. Judges. Judges.
Need I give anyone another reason for going to the polls in November.
I simply can't believe any conservative would stand by and watch every single nomination defeated and every position awaiting a possible Demo president. The very idea gives me nightmares.

Not a single Bush appointee... (Below threshold)

Not a single Bush appointee to Circuit Courts or to SCOTUS will be approved by a Democratic Senate. It would indeed be a disaster.

All year, people have been talking as if we could easily lose the House, but probably will keep the Senate - at least up until the last few weeks. However, that flies in the face of history.

In the last century, how many times has the House changed hands when the Senate did not?

We're not losing anything. ... (Below threshold)
Florence Schmieg:

We're not losing anything. Just go out and vote. If Republicans vote for Republicans we cannot lose because of the math.




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