Scott has an advantage over Charlie, though: he is still based in North Carolina, and is surrounded by a population composed primarily of real people. He's so concerned about not letting his own partisanship interfere with his ratings that I think he gives all the cases which are borderline between classifications to the Democratic side, just to be sure he isn't biasing anything in the Republican direction.

Charlie's been in DC for years, and is a captive of the chattering classes and the cocktail circuit there. Incessant propaganda, combined with mind-altering drugs, has a way of breaking down resistance to The Allure of The Beltway™. Once brainwashed and hooked, Charlie - like many a good person before him - was helpless to break their spell. He simply has to keep saying the things they want to hear, the things which will keep his dinner party and cocktail party invitations coming. For a Beltway addict, being "out of the loop" is a fate worse than death.

I trust Scott too. I also check MyElectionAnalysis he has a great track record.
So much will depend (as always) on turnout. We need to emphasize the Pelosi/Hoyer/Conyers threat.There are people with the mindset of "punishing" W but in reality they would be punishing ALL of us.

I don't put Steny Hoyers in with that crowd, but he will likely lose his leadership position to John Murtha if the Democrats take the House and Murtha is reelected.

Jane Harman is also likely to lose her position as senior Democrat on the Intel Committee to Alcee Hastings - who was impeached and convicted for his corruption as a federal judge by a Democratic House and Senate. Harman just refuses to be anti-American enough to suit Pelosi.

The University of Iowa has been running a predictions market, where people bet their own money on what they think will happen. The predictions tend to be accurate because real money is on the line. It's a futures market, and the SEC has approved it. Since WJC's appearance, the money has shifted sharply towards republicans maintaining control of both houses.

The same thing is true of Tradesports:

House GOP futures have been under 50 most of the summer, and were around 40 only a week or two ago. Now the lowest offer is 57.9 (which translates to $57.90 per contract, which pays $100 if the GOP keeps the House, and 0 if we lose). Whether it was Clinton's tirade, Bush's speeches, Osama rumors, or something else, the trend of the money flow has shifted.