An interesting report, labelled "news," from Jonathan E. Kaplan in The Hill:
Tide appears to be growing against GOP
Despite a divisive Democratic primary in Connecticut and renewed attention to homeland security in the wake of a foiled terrorist plot, the political wave that Democrats hope will wash out Republican majorities in Congress appears to be getter larger.
With 83 days before the election, independent analysts and political observers say that the universe of competitive congressional races is broadening. Most of these newly identified endangered incumbents are Republicans, increasing the chances of a Democratic takeover of one or both chambers of Congress.
If you have time to waste, read the rest of this at link above.
Now, this "news" from this "reporter" actually amounts to a few rosy projections from Democrats, polls showing approval nationally for incumbents is "down to only 55%," the startling breaking news that last week's update from the Cook Political Report raised the number of Republican seats he calls "toss-ups" from 15 to 17.
Oh, and an unnamed "respected Republican strategist" badmouthing GOP chances. Generally, when you see that phrase, you can bet it is Kevin Phillips, once nominally a Republican, who hasn't had a good thing to say about the GOP in thirty years or more, but is still labelled thusly by media muttonheads looking to sow discord in Republican ranks.
In other words, it's useless as information. It's only possible purpose is Democratic cheerleading, and the fact it is called "news" shows a definite lack of competent editing at The Hill.
NOW, for something completely different, see Alex McClure's post below, along with the several specific race updates below that. Gee, it seems Mr. Kaplan has it completely wrong: the trend seems to be TOWARD the GOP in key competitive races. Note also that Alex cites results from four different polling outfits, and uses no "anonymous sources."
And they wonder why I call them the "formerly Mainstream Media" (fMSM)?
Heh.



Comments (7)
It is very interesting when... (Below threshold)1. Posted by G. Chell | August 17, 2006 10:44 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
It is very interesting when Cook predicted that GOP will keep the House and expand the majority in 2002 and 2004, you had little of nothing to say..and now when Cook says that tide is turning against the GOP you rant and rave. If the Dems go into September with a 10-14 point lead GOP is toast..if it goes with a 6-8 point lead,it is breakeven, if it goes with a less than 5 point lead, meager gain. Right now, GOP is screwed!
1. Posted by G. Chell | August 17, 2006 10:44 PM |
Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Posted on August 17, 2006 22:44
2. Posted by Jim Addison | August 18, 2006 12:40 AM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
If there is a coherent point in there, it is beyond my ability to filter sludge.
I credit Cook and link him all the time. My point, if you had passing marks in "reads with comprehension," was that the article's sole evidence of plunging GOP fortunes was Cook's WEEK OLD addition of two GOP-held House seats to "toss-up" status.
That's hardly the Apocalypse the article implies.
My criticism, if plain English can get through your tiny little moonbat brain, was of the author of the article, not of Cook.
So, if you have a point besides on the top of your head, now would be the time to clarify it.
2. Posted by Jim Addison | August 18, 2006 12:40 AM |
Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Posted on August 18, 2006 00:40
3. Posted by eddiebear | August 18, 2006 12:46 AM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
But didn't the "Zen master" Cook predict a wipeout foe the GOP in 2004? Also, Media Whore Larry Sabato did the exact same thing. In 2002, most experts were calling for a "break even" election.
Go to realclearpolitics.com and look for Jay Cost's latest assessment of the races. Also, go to electionprojection.com. These guys and Rasmussen were better in 2002 and 2004 than Cook or Sabato. Right now, it's looking like a weakened GOP hold, according to the ones who actually know what they are doing.
3. Posted by eddiebear | August 18, 2006 12:46 AM |
Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Posted on August 18, 2006 00:46
4. Posted by Jim Addison | August 18, 2006 3:27 AM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Right you are Eddie, and I posted a link to Jay Cost's analysis in a separate post above.
My own prediction in January of this year was GOP -3 House, +1 Senate. In May, I revised that downward to -6 House, breakeven Senate. I stand by the revision, having seen nothing beyond smoke and hope to the contrary.
Notice that none of the Democratic posters will put numbers on their wild fantasies for November. They live in their crack-pipe dreams, imagining themselves winning big, but can't be specific.
Before they worry about grandeur, they should first address their delusions of adequacy.
4. Posted by Jim Addison | August 18, 2006 3:27 AM |
Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Posted on August 18, 2006 03:27
5. Posted by G. Chell | August 18, 2006 3:11 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
My own predictions. GOP -16 House and -5 in the Senate, and yes, moonbat brains, Rasmussen now says the GOP will loose at least 2 seats in the Senate..contrary to the the illusion that Addison is in..breakeven...what a joke!!!
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/2006/senateBalanceofPower.htm
5. Posted by G. Chell | August 18, 2006 3:11 PM |
Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Posted on August 18, 2006 15:11
6. Posted by Jim Addison | August 18, 2006 3:49 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Rasmussen shows Cantwell and Stabenow as solid, and Santorum as lost. He only has Frist's TN seat as "leaning GOP". That's the joke.
He who laughs last, laughs best. Moonbat morons love to find the one poll whose results they like and assume it is the most accurate. That's why they seem to end up disappointed every fall.
Alex McClure cited results from four different national pollsters in the races he reviewed below.
I invite anyone who, like G. Chell above, has had the courage to post their predictions to be here with us on Election Night.
6. Posted by Jim Addison | August 18, 2006 3:49 PM |
Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Posted on August 18, 2006 15:49
7. Posted by kirktoe | August 18, 2006 9:13 PM | Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Jim,
You analysis is right on the money. I remember just 2 months ago that the media was gloating that Santorum was done (especially after that news conference he did talking about the chemical weapons that were found in Iraq). He was done by 15+ points. Now it's down to single digits and as we head to the fall and people come in from the beach and really start focusing, it's going to tighten more and I would not be surprised if Santorum wins by 3 or 4 points.
It's amazing to see moonbats like G. Shell continue to fall for the media's push polls that promote Democrats and make it seem like they are in control. You'd think at some point they'd realize that the media is really screwing them.
I'm an optimist so I don't think the GOP is going to lose many if any seats at all simply because this election is quickly swerving into one that is only about one issue: national security. And the GOP will win big on that one, particularly after the court ruling yesterday. I for one cannot wait to get to the polls and vote in November and I believe more and more of hte base is beginning to feel the same way.
7. Posted by kirktoe | August 18, 2006 9:13 PM |
Score: 0 (0 votes cast)
Posted on August 18, 2006 21:13